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If You Can : good, short read
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Tom,
Thats an interesting document. Thanks. One thing that I didn't see well covered in there was the importance of inflation. The reality is that a period of inflation similar to what happened in the late 1970s and early 1980s will up end a lot of current thinking in personal finance.
I also frankly haven't seen a lot of good analysis as to how individuals should respond to mitigate inflation risk. Typically investors trot out two answers when they discuss responding to inflation. They are:
1. Buy Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS)
2. Buy precious metals
TIPs have a number of problems - notably they are lagging indicators. So they calculate their payments based on inflation rates for the past 6 months. The problem is that inflation happens in real time, which squeezes the individual investor.
Precious metals are a historical favorite when paper currencies are unreliable. The major problem is that there isn't really a lot of good data on how well the price of gold responds to inflation. And frankly I find it problematic to make financial decisions based on what a lot of internet gurus like Robert Kiyosaki say about gold.
So, if that piece said more about inflation I think it would have a stronger impact.james.c.hendrickson@gmail.com
202.468.6043
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