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I have been focusing on the wrong thing: need to get healthy

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  • I have been focusing on the wrong thing: need to get healthy

    I have a massive spreadsheet that calculates things 9 ways to Sunday. Lots of inputs for what ifs. Lots of charts and graphs. I must have looked at thousands of scenarios to see what the impact is on our retirement money plan.

    Today I decided to add something different. I have always liked the Rich Broke or Dead graph from here:

    A FI/RE early retirement calculator visualizing longevity risk in early retirement and enables you to compare the probability success, failure and mortality.


    I decided to incorporate this into my spreadsheet. Finding the rich or broke data was easy. Just picked that out from my built in historical model. The dead part was harder. I used the Social Security mortality data, the Canadian Institute of Actuaries data and 4 of the online calculators that use a lot more inputs. I looked at ideal health (I am not) and my current health (overweight, hypertension, pre-diabetic and history of heart attack). I decided to use those two as my bookends.

    Here's the data using my current health:



    Well that's depressing. I guess all I really need to do financially is make sure my wife has enough when I'm dead @ 73. :frown:

    I have an input to switch to the mortality data for me if I lose weight, exercise and eat right which should eliminate my threats.



    That's better, but to be honest, it's still disheartening. Still processing all of this and what it means. What is for certain is I should spend less time futzing with spreadsheets and more time focusing on my health. Seems obvious, but it brings it into sharp focus when my analytical test pilot brain sees it in a chart.

  • #2
    Sometimes you just have to turn your brain off and go grind it out at the gym.
    I've been going 5 days a week for years (less a little while during lockdown)
    Recently, I've cleaned up my diet and have been eating super clean.
    There are some medical issues in my family on both sides.
    I thankfully don't have any health problems, and I want to keep it that way
    Brian

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    • #3
      Um are you willing to share this spreadsheet? I kinda want to use it for my retirement planning also.
      james.c.hendrickson@gmail.com
      202.468.6043

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      • #4
        Excellent post. This is the kind of stuff that keeps me up at night. Now I can put some numbers to it.
        History will judge the complicit.

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        • #5
          Originally posted by james.hendrickson View Post
          Um are you willing to share this spreadsheet? I kinda want to use it for my retirement planning also.
          James, The link is in Corn's first post: https://engaging-data.com/will-money-last-retire-early/

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          • #6
            I've heard plenty about not wanting to outlive your money, but this is the first time I've seen it graphed.

            My father died at 62 of prostate cancer. The genetic testing I've had done has indicated there is a 52% chance I will develop prostate cancer. That doesn't mean I will develop it, or if I do that I will die from it, but I get my PSA checked annually so I will have a running history.

            Outside of cancer, I could die at any point, stroke / car wreck / crazy ex-girlfriend.

            My personal outlook is plan for the best; for me I'd like to see 105.

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