mortality

[Like2Plan]

Herd immunity will be the only way to eliminate the virus, which outside of a vaccine, I am guessing will require 25% to 30% of the population to become infected. I can appreciate trying to flatten the curve, but it's going to take x1000 more people to get there.

If nothing is done, the number of infections double every 5-7 days. The problem is overwhelming the medical services...

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK554776/

I copied this from another web site:

Latest New York State numbers:

3/24/2020 25,665 cases 3,234 hospitalized 756 ICU beds
3/25/2020 30,811 cases,3,805 Hospitalized, 888 ICU patients
3/26/2020 37,358 cases, 5,327 Hospitalized, 1,290 ICU patients, 1,517 patients discharged.
3/27/2020 44,635 cases, 6,481 Hospitalized, 1,583 ICU Patients, 2,045 patients discharged.
info from here:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Y-21SuoFNg

[disneysteve]

I can appreciate trying to flatten the curve, but it's going to take x1000 more people to get there.

I think a lot of people misunderstand flattening the curve. It doesn't mean there will be fewer cases overall. It means those cases will occur over a much longer time period so there will be fewer at any given point. That prevents the healthcare system from being overwhelmed beyond their capacity to care for those patients.

L2P's numbers perfectly illustrate the issue. New York state has about 3,000 ICU beds. Right now, today, they already have almost 1,600 occupied with COVID-19 patients. Plus there are all of the patients who would normally be in the ICU - heart attacks, strokes, whatever. So they are probably very close to maxed out. What happens if those numbers double over the next week?

[LivingAlmostLarge]

we become italy where we start picking who lives and who dies based on age and health condition. But the us sort of already does that sort of socialized medicine. It's call if you have good health insurance or not. good health insurance = preventative care. Bad/no insurance = no care.